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Albion Analytics: Are Albion the comeback kings?

The stats behind Albion's late shows this season.

By Liam Tharme • 26 January 2022

By Paul Hazlewood
Albion have taken 11 points from games this season in which they have been losing at some stage.

Albion came back from behind to take a point at Leicester, taking their points from losing positions total to 11 this season. Only West Ham (12) have more, and only in the 2019/20 season (12) have the Albion recovered more points from matches. Sunday’s result means Albion have lost just once on the road all season – only Manchester City are able to match that total.

Despite having more wins (6) than losses (4) this Premier League season, Graham Potter’s side have spent almost double the length of time in losing positions (639 minutes) than winning positions (347 minutes). Brighton’s 12 draws are the most in the Premier League and across Europe’s top five leagues this season, with Albion one of just 15 sides across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1 and the Bundesliga to have lost fewer than five games – for perspective, Brighton have as many losses as Barcelona (4) and fewer than Juventus (5).

An uncanny ability to dominate and create late on in games has undoubtedly been the key to success for the Albion. They have already bettered their final 15-minute goals totals from three out of four previous Premier League campaigns, having netted nine in 22 games so far this season – only in the 2019/20 season (12) did they score more in this time frame.

Brighton’s average shot quality (0.13xG/shot) in the closing stages (last 15 minutes) has only ever been better in the 2019/20 campaign (and marginally at that – 0.14xG/shot), though this season they boast a personal best in shot conversion rate (15.8%) and joint-best total in terms of goal difference (+6) in the final 15 minutes of games. Across the Premier League, only Manchester City (2) have conceded fewer goals in this time period and no non ‘big-six’ side have a better final 15 minutes goal difference than the Seagulls.

In the second half against Leicester, Brighton outpassed (264 to 131), outshot (10 to 4) and outcrossed (20 to 5) the hosts, evidence of a dominant attacking display, despite being a goal down. Across the full game, Albion’s pass accuracy (82.1%), touches in the opposition box (39) and shots on target (5) were the best totals of any non ‘big-six’ club in a fixture this game week, which included opponents Leicester.

It was from a cross that the equaliser arrived, too as Danny Welbeck headed home his third of the season (all three have been headers) from a Neal Maupay cross – the first time the pair have combined for a Premier League goal. The Seagulls rank fifth in the league this season for successful open-play crosses into the opposition box (49).

 Maupay has undoubtedly been at the centre of the late Brighton shows this season, having netted late equalisers at Burnley, West Ham, Southampton and Crystal Palace, in addition to crossing for the levellers at home to the Eagles and most recently at the King Power on Sunday. Only Marcus Rashford (4) has more goals than Maupay (3) in the final 15 minutes of games this season, with the Frenchman having netted three goals from just eight attempts in this time.

Combined, Albion’s substitutes this season have eight goal involvements (4 goals, 4 assists); Alexis Mac Allister and Tariq Lamptey stand out further for their additional impact on team performance – the Argentine (9) and Englishman (7) are two of Brighton’s most three used substitutes this season, and Brighton boast their best xG differences (created minus conceded) with the pair on-field.

Against Leicester, Lamptey posted Albion’s best totals for dribbles (4) and crosses (6), despite only featuring for the final half an hour – nine of Albion’s 14 shots came with Lamptey on the field.